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Tuesday, May 26, 2020

Forecast / The number of coronaries in India will be 21 lakh on this date, case double in 13 days; Experts claim

India is becoming a hot spot of coronavirus worldwide and more than 1,38,500 cases of infection have been reported here. In India, 4,024 people have lost their lives due to Kovid 19 and India has now joined the list of top 10 countries after Iran in terms of cases. However now the University of Michigan and Johns Hopkins University have warned through the Corona model that 2.1 million people in India could be infected by the first week of July.

Covid 19 cases in India can rise to 21 lakh in July
image source vtv gujarati
Professor Bhramar Mukherjee, a biostatistics and epidemiologist at the University of Michigan, told Reuters through a model designed for India that the situation here could be more serious. Professor Bhramar Mukherjee says that the incidence of coronavirus infection in India has not decreased yet, with cases of coronavirus infection in India doubling every 13 days, according to government figures. In such a situation, removing the lockdown related restrictions may increase the difficulties.

Earlier, Professor Mukherjee's team had said for the first time in April that the number of infected people in India would cross one lakh by mid-May. Now Mukherjee's team estimates that 630,000 to 21 lakh people in India could be infected with the virus by early July.

Bhramar Mukherjee, Professor of Biostatistics and Epidemiologist, University of Michigan
Bhramar Mukherjee, Professor of Biostatistics and Epidemiologist, University of Michigan

One-fifth of the cases are in Mumbai alone

Reuters news agency says India's health ministry has not commented on the estimates. Of the total infection cases in the country, one-fifth are in Mumbai alone. 


Lack of beds and ventilators in the country

Johns Hopkins University and Mukherjee's team have also expressed concern over the shortage of beds and ventilators in health services and hospitals in India. According to government figures, there are currently 714,000 hospital beds in India, up from about 540,000 in 2009. 

Read in gujarati : click here

The United States currently ranks first in the top 10 in terms of the number of cases of infection, followed by Brazil, Russia, Britain, Spain, Italy, France, Germany and Turkey.

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