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Monday, May 11, 2020

The claim in the research: Corona will not disappear for 2 years, the reasons are something like this

A new study by U.S. researchers estimates that the coronavirus epidemic is likely to continue for the next 18 to 24 months. That is why governments around the world have been warned to be prepared for the next two years as Corona will raise its head again.



The study, called "Covid-19 View Point" by the Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy at the University of Minnesota in the United States, is based on previous examples of influenza pandemics. Four people have done this work together. His name is Dr. Christine A. Moore (Medical Director CIDRP), Dr. Mark Lipsich (Director, Communicable Diseases Dynamics, Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health), John M. Berry and Michael T. Osterholm.

Is. Since the beginning of 1700, there have been eight influenza pandemics in the world. 4 of them came after 1900, 1900–1919, 1957, 1968 and 2009–10. The researchers say that the nature of the current SARS-COV-2 is quite different from the nature of recent coronavirus diseases such as SARS and MERS.


Based on previous epidemics, researchers have estimated three possible causes for the novel coronavirus. However, they also point out the significant differences between the two that make the Covid-19 a major threat. The incubation period in novel coronavirus is longer than in influenza. The original reproductive number of coronaviruses is also higher than the influenza pandemic. Previous epidemics did not have as much effect of weather as winter or summer.

Researchers suggest that officers prepare for Scenario 2, which is the worst case scenario. Assume that there is currently no vaccine or drug available. The study says that governments should plan in the belief that the epidemic will not end soon. Also coronafiri will spread periodically for the next two years so be careful.

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